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Since you assume your deck is sufficiently randomized, and that you run an average of 24 Pokmon, this means you have around an 8% chance of finding one of your Claydols first than any of your other Pokmon cards

When we compiled the limited list of Mega Pokemon that haven't been blessed with a Pokemon TCG card yet, Mega Banette stood out as one of the few with a possible explanation

One final thing to take care of is the age division

Playing with the top card of your deck revealed gives away a lot of your game plan, but Melek does very Izzet things by caring about instants and sorceries and allowing you to copy them